Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Golden Globes Film Predictions-12 Years a Slave will lead Drama/American Hustle will Lead Comedy/Musical

Best Film (Drama)
12 Years a Slave
Captain Phillips
Lee Daniel's The Butler
Saving Mr. Banks

I am predicting there will be 6 nominees this year, and Dallas Buyer's Club made a play at SAG, which means its going to show stronger here as well, even over Blue Jasmine. Update: Philomena will replace my Dallas prediction!

Best Actor (Drama)
Chiwetel Ejiofor-12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks-Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey-Dallas Buyer's Club
Robert Redford-All is Lost
Forrest Whitaker-Lee Daniel's The Butler

Easy five to narrow down, no comments here other than Redford will make the cut.

Best Actress (Drama)
Cate Blanchett-Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock-Gravity
Judi Dench-Philomena
Emma Thompson-Saving Mr. Banks
Kate Winslet-Labor Day

Winslet is me grasping for a fifth nominee. I am tempted to put down Adèle Exarchopoulos forBlue is the Warmest Color, but Winslet has the name, and the Globes pick name over performance

Best Film (Comedy/Musical)
August: Osage County
American Hustle 
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Wolf of Wall Street

This is the first year where this category is tough to predict because of the film quality rather than trying to read their minds at which films they may pick.  I still think Her has a shot, and that there will be six nominees here as well, but I think if there are only 5 Her gets snubbed.

Best Actor Comedy/Musical
Christian Bale-American Hustle 
Bruce Dern-Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio-The Wolf of Wall Street
James Gandolfini-Enough Said 
Joaquin Phoenix-Her

I could name 10 contenders for this category another tough category to pick.  You have Ben Stiller, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, and Oscar Isaac who also could compete.  This five is crap shoot, DiCaprio and Dern are safest.

Best Actress Comedy/Musical
Amy Adams-American Hustle 
Sandra Bullock-The Heat
Julia Louis-Dreyfuss-Enough Said 
Melissa McCarthy-The Heat
Meryl Streep-August: Osage County

The Globes love double nominees, and this where Bullock and Louis-Dreyfuss will capitalize.  I think they will eat up The Heat, its funny, and Enough Said will get acting nominations.

Best Supporting Actor 
Daniel Bruhl-Rush
Steve Coogan-Philomena
Michael Fassbender-12 Years a Slave 
Tom Hanks-Saving Mr. Banks
Jared Leto-Dallas Buyer's Club

I could see Barkhad Adbi nominated, but the Globes go for name, and he could get in over Hanks, but again the Globes love double nominees. Update-Added Coogan and Bruhl, the HFPA loved Rush and Philomena.

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Lawrence-American Hustle 
Lupita Nyong'o-12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts-August: Osage County
June Squibb-Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey-Lee Daniel's The Butler 

This category will match SAG exactly, but Roberts may lose out in the end like Kidman last year with a more "respected" actress.

Best Director 
Alfonso Cuaron-Gravity
Lee Daniels-Lee Daniel's The Butler
Steve McQueen-12 Years a Slave 
David O. Russell-American Hustle 
Martin Scorsese-The Wolf of Wall Street

I am going to go for it, my "No Guts No Glory" prediction is that Lee Daniels gets a director nomination for The Butler.  I am torn between a nomination for him, and Paul Greengrass.  I think the Globes will reward Daniels here.

Best Screenplay
12 Years a Slave 
American Hustle 
August: Osage County
The Wolf of Wall Street

Woody Allen is getting the Cecille B. DeMille, but he is supposedly not going to show up at the awards, I think the Globes will snub his script if this happens, and put in August: Osage County instead.


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