American Film Institute (AFI) Name their Top Ten Films

The list is of the top ten films is pretty predictable, but two films are surprisingly missing Lee Daniel's The Butler and Dallas Buyers Club.  This list does not always perfectly match Oscar, but as years have moved forward they list has gotten closer and closer.  The Butler missing out here is a blow, and Thursday's SAG nominations will be a sign if the film is moving forward or "done."  This list of 2013 winners looks like a pretty close match on what to expect for Best Picture.

2013 Film Winners 

12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Fruitvale Station
Gravity
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
Saving Mr. Banks 
The Wolf of Wall Street

Here is a look at the past winners, what was missing, and how close it matched the actual Best Picture line-up:

2012

Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild 
The Dark Knight Rises
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Moonrise Kingdom
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty 

8 out of 9, not including Amour.  Amour is a foreign language film and not eligible here.

2011

Bridesmaids
The Descendants  
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
J. Edgar
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse

7 out of 9, missing Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close and The Artist, which was ineligible.