Thursday, December 11, 2014

Fargo and True Detective lead Golden Globe Television Nominations

People who do not watch a lot of television may be scratching their head at today’s Golden Globe Television nominations.  Asking, where are Modern Family and The Big Bang Theory?  Or what are The Affair, Transparent, and The Knick?  All good questions, and they can be answered with a simple, the Golden Globes love new shows.  On to the most nominated series/films.

Fargo led the nominations today with five nominees including Outstanding Miniseries/Movie, and four acting nominations for Martin Freeman, Billy Bob Thornton, Allison Tollman, and Collin Hanks.  True Detective, which the Globes properly put in the Miniseries/Movie category, had the second most nominations with four.  Rounding out the category The Normal Heart received three nominations, including Miniseries/Movie, Mark Ruffalo in Lead Actor, and Matt Bomer in Supporting Actor.  Julia Roberts was surprisingly snubbed in Supporting Actress.  Rounding out the Miniseries/Movie category is Olive Kitteridge (3 nominations), and always bet on a Starz nomination here now, The Missing (2 nominations).

Let’s move on to some of those new shows I talked about earlier on the Drama side, like The Affair, which is in a three-way tie for the most nominations in the Drama category with The Good Wife, and House of Cards.  Each has 3 nominations.  The Affair is a fantastic new drama on Showtime, and it has the chops to be a winner in one of its three categories.  Old favorites Dowton Abbey (2 nominations), and Game of Thrones (1 nomination) round out the Best Drama nominations.

Here’s a joke to start out the Best Comedy categories, none of the winners from last year are nominated this year. Oh wait, that’s not funny.  Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Andy Samburg, and host Amy Poehler were all snubbed in their perspective categories, which is why I love and question the Globes television nominations.

One of the best things about this year’s Globes Comedy/Musical nominees is that four out of the five nominees are created by women, which is a fantastic feat.  Three of the show’s star feature a woman as a central character, and the fourth features a transgender woman.  Pretty impressive!  This would never happen at the Emmy Awards.

Orange is the New Black has the most Comedy/Musical nominations with 3, including nominations for Taylor Schilling, and Uzo Aduba.  The rest of the shows in this category are Girls (2 nominations), Transparent (2 nominations), Jane the Virgin (2 nominations), and Silicon Valley (1 nomination).

While you may find these nominations a bit quirky, I always find their television nominations the most refreshing.  So add a new show to your list, and my advice is either The Affair or Jane the Virgin.  In fact you should do both, but start with The Affair, then follow it with Jane; she will brighten your day.

Best Television Series – Drama
“The Affair,” Showtime
“Downton Abbey,” PBS
“Game of Thrones,” HBO
“The Good Wife,” CBS
“House of Cards,” Netflix

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series – Drama
Claire Danes, “Homeland”
Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder”
Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
Ruth Wilson, “The Affair”
Robin Wright, “House of Cards”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series – Drama
Clive Owen, “The Knick”
Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”
Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”
James Spader, “The Blacklist”
Dominic West, “The Affair”

Best Television Series — Comedy or Musical
“Girls,” HBO
“Jane the Virgin,” The CW
“Orange is the New Black,” Netflix
“Silicon Valley,” HBO
“Transparent,” Amazon Instant Video

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series — Comedy or Musical
Lena Dunham, “Girls”
Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
Gina Rodriguez, “Jane the Virgin”
Taylor Schilling, “Orange is the New Black”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series — Comedy or Musical
Louis C.K., “Louie”
Don Cheadle, “House of Lies”
Ricky Gervais, “Derek”
William H. Macy, “Shameless”
Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

Best Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
“Fargo,” FX
“The Missing,” Starz
“The Normal Heart,” HBO
“Olive Kitteridge,” HBO
“True Detective,” HBO

Best Performance by an Actress in a Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Honorable Woman”
Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
Frances McDormand, “Olive Kitteridge”
Frances O’Connor, “The Missing”
Allison Tolman, “Fargo”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Martin Freeman, “Fargo”
Woody Harrelson, “True Detective”
Matthew McConaughey, “True Detective”
Mark Ruffalo, “The Normal Heart”
Billy Bob Thornton, “Fargo”

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black”
Kathy Bates, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey”
Allison Janney, “Mom”
Michelle Monaghan, “True Detective”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Matt Bomer, “The Normal Heart”
Alan Cumming, “The Good Wife”
Colin Hanks, “Fargo”
Bill Murray, “Olive Kitteridge”
Jon Voight, “Ray Donovan”

Birdman leads the Golden Globe (Film) Nominations with 7!

It was the snub heard round the world.  Angelina Jolie was not nominated for a single Golden Globe today.  Jolie was a contender for Producer/ Director on Unbroken, and in the Lead Actress in Comedy/Musical for Maleficent; she did not reap a single nomination.  It will be hard for this film to rebound from this, not many films can rebound after this point, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close is one of the only few films that has come back from this point in recent years.  With that said it’s still early, and this season has gotten pretty interesting.

Like yesterday, Birdman lead the nominations at Golden Globes, on the film side with 7, including Best Comedy/Musical, Best Director, Best Screenplay, Best Score, and three acting nominations for Michael Keaton, Edward Norton, and Emma Stone. 

The only other Best Comedy/Musical to make a big dent was The Grand Budapest Hotel, which had four nominations, including a surprise Best Director nomination for Wes Anderson.  This film had a big week; do not be surprised if it does well at the Oscars too.  The other Best Comedy/Musical nominees are Pride (1 nomination), St. Vincent (2 nominations), and Into the Woods (3 nominations).

Boyhood and The Imitation Game have the most nominations in the Drama categories, with 5 each.  To be fair Selma, and The Theory of Everything, the other Best Drama nominees, are not far behind, they each have four nominations, and Foxcatcher has 3 nominations.

Gone Girl, which was not nominated for Best Drama, also did well, scoring 4 nominations, including Best Director, Best Actress for Rosamund Pike, Best Score, and Best Screenplay.  Gillian Flynn is the only female nominee in the screenplay category.

Speaking of female nominees, Ava DuVerney is the only female nominated for Best Director (Selma); she is also the first black female director to be nominated at the Golden Globes. 

Overall the film nominees were pretty solid, Jennifer Aniston and Jake Gyllenhaal getting nominations from this group and SAG means a lot!  Interstellar only getting one nomination is a big deal too.  This year seems to be about personal stories, and I can respect that.  Excited to see how this translates into Oscar, and who makes the cut in the lead categories, and Picture.

 Best Motion Picture – Drama
“Boyhood”
“Foxcatcher”
“The Imitation Game”
“Selma”
“The Theory of Everything”

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Drama
Jennifer Aniston, “Cake”
Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything”
Julianne Moore, “Still Alice”
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher”
Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game”
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Nightcrawler”
David Oyelowo, “Selma”
Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything”

Best Picture — Comedy or Musical
“Birdman”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Into the Woods”
“Pride”
“St. Vincent”

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Comedy or Musical
Amy Adams, “Big Eyes”
Emily Blunt, “Into the Woods”
Helen Mirren, “The Hundred-Foot Journey”
Julianne Moore, “Maps to the Stars”
Quvenzhané Wallis, “Annie”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Comedy or Musical
Ralph Fiennes, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
Bill Murray, “St. Vincent”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Inherent Vice”
Christoph Waltz, “Big Eyes”

Best Animated Feature Film
“Big Hero 6″
“The Book of Life”
“The Boxtrolls”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2″
“The LEGO Movie”

Best Foreign Language Film
“Force Majeure Turist” (Sweden)
“Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem Gett” (Israel)
“Ida” (Poland/Denmark)
“Leviathan” (Russia)
“Tangerines Mandariinid” (Estonia)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year”
Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game”
Emma Stone, “Birdman”
Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods”

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
Edward Norton, “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash”

Best Director — Motion Picture
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Ava DuVernay, “Selma”
David Fincher, “Gone Girl”
Alejandro González Iñárritu, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
“The Grand Budapest Hotel,” by Wes Anderson
“Gone Girl,” by Gillian Flynn
“Birdman,” by Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris and Armando Bo
“Boyhood,” by Richard Linklater
“The Imitation Game,” by Graham Moore

Best Original Score — Motion Picture
“The Imitation Game,” by Alexandre Desplat
“The Theory of Everything,” by Jóhann Jóhannsson
“Gone Girl,” by Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
“Birdman,” by Antonio Sanchez
“Interstellar,” by Hans Zimmer

Best Original Song — Motion Picture
“Big Eyes,” from “Big Eyes,” by Lana Del Ray
“Glory,” from “Selma,” by John Legend and Common
“Mercy Is,” from “Noah,” by Patti Smith and Lenny Kaye
“Opportunity,” from “Annie,” by Greg Kurstin, Sia Furler and Will Gluck

“Yellow Flicker Beat,” from “The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1,” by Lorde

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Golden Globe Film Predictions (2015)

I would love to say I could understand the mindset of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). One of the biggest "science" to knowing this group is, does it involve a celebrity like Angelina Jolie, and then stating alright she will be nominated.  Did someone do two things? Mark Ruffalo, let's nominate him for Foxcatcher and The Normal Heart.

Sometimes their film nominees do not make the Best Picture cut, Rush (2013), The Ides of March (2011), Revolutionary Road (2008).  I do not look at the comedy/musical side.Since we moved to five plus nominees, Rush and March are the only two films that have not been nominated for Best Picture.

It's harder to figure out the acting races since they are split in two, but lets look.  In the last seven years 6 actors were not one of the 10 nominated for a Globe for Best Actor: Gary Old for Tinker Tailor Solider Spy (2011), Jeff Bridge for True Grit (2010), Javier Bardem for Biutiful (2010), Jeremy Renner for The Hurt Locker (2009), Richard Jenkins for The Visitor (2008), and Tommy Lee Jones for In the Valley of Elah (2007) were not nominated for Golden Globes.  This is good news for lesser known actors, like Richard Jenkins, and films the Globes just do not like The Hurt Locker.  So keep your fingers crossed if your favorite did not make the cut.

On the actress side only three women have not been nominated at the Golden Globes and went on to Oscar, they were Emanuelle Riva for Amour (2012), Quvenzhane Wallis for Beasts of the Southern Wild,(2012) Melissa Leo for Frozen River (2008) (technically Kate Winslet was nominated at the Globes in supporting for The Reader, but that was a rare rare occurrence.  All of these were very small independent films, which is typically not an HFPA thing, although they did nominate Greta Gerwig for Frances Ha, so maybe they are changing.

On the Supporting Actor side they always tend to throw someone unexpected in the mix, think Tom Cruise in Tropic Thunder, while that's rare one of their choices who does not make the Oscars cut is usually a big star or in a comedic film.  I will say I think they have moved away from this a tad, since they are trying to reclaim a little dignity.

On the other hand Supporting Actress has been pretty spot on, so look for this to be one of the more solid group of nominees.  There is sometimes one person left out, but they have matched pretty well lately.

Director has never lined up, I think the Globes will go for Jolie, but the Academy and DGA will not.  Watch out for a more artistic director like Fincher, Bennett Miller or Mike Leigh with the Academy,

Best Film (Drama)
Boyhood
The Imitation Game
Selma 
The Theory of Everything 
Unbroken 

Best Actor (Drama)
Steve Carell-Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch-The Imitation Game
Jake Gyllenhaal-Nightcrawler 
David Oyelowo-Selma
Eddie Redmayne-The Theory of Everything 

Best Actress (Drama)
Jennifer Aniston-Cake 
Felicity Jones-The Theory of Everything 
Julianne Moore-Still Alice 
Rosamund Pike-Gone Girl 
Reese Witherspoon-Wild 

Best Comedy/Musical
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel 
Into the Woods 
St. Vincent
Top Five 

Best Lead Actor (Comedy/Musical)
James Corden-Into the Woods
Ralph Fiennes-The Grand Budapest Hotel
Michael Keaton-Birdman
Bill Murray-St. Vincent
Joaquin Phoenix-Inherent Vice 

Best Lead Actress (Comedy/Musical)
Amy Adams-Big Eyes
Emily Blunt-Into the Woods
Angelina Jolie-Maleficent 
Helen Mirren-The 100 Hundred Foot Journey
Jenny Slate-Obvious Child 

Best Supporting Actor 
Robert Duvall-The Judge
Ethan Hawke-Boyhood
Edward Norton-Birdman
Mark Ruffalo-Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons-Whiplash

Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette-Boyhood
Jessica Chastain-A Most Violent Year
Keira Knightly-The Imitation Game 
Emma Stone-Birdman 
Meryl Streep-Into the Woods

Best Director 
Ava DuVerney-Selma
Alejandro Gonzalez Inaritu-Birdman
Angelina Jolie-Unbroken
Richard Linklater-Boyhood 
Morten Tyldum-The Imitation Game 

Best Screenplay
Birdman
Boyhood
Gone Girl 
The Grand Budapest Hotel 
The Imitation Game

Best Original Score 
Gone Girl 
Interstellar 
The Imitation Game
The Theory of Everything 
Unbroken 



Modern Family leads SAG Television Nominations (2015)

SAG Award Nominations 2015Well I am going to give the Screen Actors Guild, some minor credit on the television side, they changed things up a bit, not too much, but enough.  Let's go with their lazy choices first though
Boardwalk Empire, Steve Buscemi, Peter Dinklage, Downton Abbey, and Maggie Smith,  have been nominated every year, if you bet against them, you must have forgot this award show has a rubber stamp for these five on the drama side.  Hell Smith even won last year.  Stop nominating her, the performance is tired, and she does not show up!  Boardwalk Empire will not be eligible next year, two spots automatically open up.
I am not going to give SAG credit for keeping Homeland and Danes, that is part of their rubber stamp, but the show was much better this past season.
On to the applause worthy drama nominations.  Julianna Marguilies is back, Viola Davis for How to Get Away with Murder, and Tatiana Maslany for Orphan Black.  Pretty great trio.  I am also impressed that SAG voters realized it was Harrelson and McConaughey who deserved nods for True Detective, not the ensemble.
On the Comedy side Modern Family has the most nominations with four, they threw Stonestreet back into the mix.  I get that this is a funny show, but what about some new performances.  Bringing back Stonestreet is just plain lazy.  The laziest is having Falco here every year, or people like Mindy Kailing, Allison Janney, and Lisa Kudrow.
I have to say the only refreshing parts of the Comedy nominations are, the nods to ensembles from Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Orange is the New Black, and the actress nomination for Uzo Aduba.  I am happy to see Veep represented and Amy Poehler.
Drama Ensemble 
Boardwalk Empire
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
Homeland
House of Cards
Drama Actress 
Claire Danes, Homeland
Viola Davis, How to Get Away With Murder
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Tatiana Maslany, Orphan Black
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey 
Robin Wright, House of Cards
Drama Actor 
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Woody Harrelson, True Detective
Matthew McConaughey, True Detective
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
Comedy Ensemble 
The Big Bang Theory
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Modern Family (WON IN 2014)
Orange Is the New Black
Veep
Comedy Actress 
Uzo Aduba, Orange Is the New Black
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep 
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Comedy Actor 
Ty Burrell, Modern Family 
Louis CK, Louie
William Macy, Shameless
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
TV Movie or Miniseries — Female Actor
Ellen Burstyn, Flowers in the Attic
Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Honorable Woman
Frances McDorman, Olive Kitteridge
Julia Roberts, The Normal Heart
Cicely Tyson, The Trip to Bountiful
TV Movie or Miniseries — Male Actor 
Adrien Brody, Houdini
Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock: His Last Vow
Richard Jenkins, Olive Kitteridge
Mark Ruffalo, The Normal Heart
Billy Bob Thornton, Fargo

Birdman Leads SAG Nominations-What does this Mean for Oscar?

Birdman 1
Somewhere in a high tower I imagine Harvey Weinstein is looking into a cauldron, and cackling.  The 
Weinstein Company did exceptionally well today, their film The Imitation Game has 3, including Best Ensemble, Actor (Benedict Cumberbatch), and Supporting Actress (Keira Knightly).
I make this joke because Harvey just has a way of making these types of films happen during the award season, although that was not the case last year.  Somehow Harvey got voters to nominate Naomi Watts in Supporting for St. Vincent instead of Birdman.
That did not stop Birdman as the highest nominated film for this award show with 4 nominations, including Ensemble, Lead Actor (Michael Keaton), Supporting Actor (Edward Norton), and Supporting Actress (Emma Stone).
Watts nomination was not the only surprise.  Jennifer Aniston’s Lead Actress nomination came out of the clear blue, it’s a performance I know she has been talking up, but no one else had been talking much about her.  The other surprise was Jake Gyllenhaal’s nomination for Nightcrawler, this is a great performance, and I hope he gets a Globe nod too tomorrow.  Many will say Duvall was a surprise in Supporting Actor, but he has won his category before, and been nominated as individual performer 5 other times, pretty predictable.
In the ensemble category the biggest surprise was The Grand Budapest Hotel nomination, it surely replaced Into the Woods as “we have a lot of stars” but earned this nomination, and was huge treat.  Wes Anderson always has great casts, but this is his first film nominated in this category.
The fifth slot in this ensemble category was a toss-up, I had Selma, but like true Americans they had a hard on for a story about a British genius, The Theory of Everything.  This is the film to watch out for, not Imitation Game, by the way!  Theory tied Imitation Game, and Boyhood with 3 nominations each.
So what does this mean for Oscar?  This is the first of the guild nominations, and can be a good predictor.  Aside from the category analysis the SAG Awards have become less reliable in the last few years, with nominations, namely because if the voting body did not get the screener they did not vote for it.  This is why you see a lack of Selma, Unbroken, and other late release films, so keep that in mind. There is an analysis under every nominated category below:
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Steve Carell as John du Pont – “Foxcatcher”
Benedict Cumberbatch as Alan Turing – “The Imitation Game”
Jake Gyllenhaal as Louis Bloom – “Nightcrawler”
Michael Keaton as Riggan – “BIRDMAN”
Eddie Redmayne as Stephen Hawking – “The Theory of Everything”
3 of these men have Oscar nominations, Keaton, Cumberbatch, and Redmayne.  Carell and Gyllenhaal are vulnerable still, but this could be the final five.  Watch out for Timothy Spall in Mr. Turner and David Oyelowo in Selma.  I think Oyelowo will replace someone.
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Jennifer Aniston as Claire Bennett – “Cake”
Felicity Jones as Jane Hawking – “The Theory of Everything”

Julianne Moore as Alice Howland-Jones – “Still Alice”
Rosamund Pike as Amy Dunne – “Gone Girl”
Resse Witherspoon as Cheryl Strayed – “Wild”
Aniston threw me, I was half expecting Amy Adams, for Big Eyes or Hilary Swank for The Homesman.  I am not sure what to make of Aniston’s nomination at the moment, I do not think she will make the final five at Oscar, I think Marion Cotillard will replace her.
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Robert Duvall as Joseph Palmer – “The Judge”

Ethan Hawke as Mason, Sr. – “Boyhood”
Edward Norton as Mike – “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo as Dave Schultz – “Foxcatcher”

J.K. Simmons as Fletcher – “Whiplash”
This could be the final five at the Oscars, but Duvall is vulnerable.  Watch out for Josh Brolin for Inherent Vice, Tom Wilkinson in Selma, and a few others.
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Patricia Arquette as Olivia – “Boyhood”
Keira Knightly as Joan Clarke – “The Imitation Game ”
Emma Stone as Sam – “Birdman”
Meryl Streep as The Witch – “Into the Woods”
Naomi Watts as Daka – “St. Vincent”
Watts like her Australian counterpart Nicole Kidman in The Paperboy will not be nominated for the Oscar; she will most likely be replaced by Jessica Chastain, for A Most Violent Year, which the group had not seen.  Watts could also score a nomination for Birdman over Stone.
Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

Birdman
Boyhood
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
The Theory of Everything

These five films could be Oscar nominees, I think four are safe bets.  If Grand Budapest gets this, and a PGA, it’s on even further solid ground.  Since no Wes Anderson film has gotten a nomination at SAG, I would add it to your Oscar top 9.

Tuesday, December 9, 2014

Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Television Predictions 2015

Outstanding Ensemble for a Television Series, Comedy
The Big Bang Theory
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Modern Family
Orange is the New Black
Veep

SAG is the most repetiative in the television categories, there are two vacancies here from last year, no 30 Rock or Arrested Development.  Orange is the New Black will surely make the cut, but the fifth nominee is anyone's guess.  I am going on a limb and will say Brooklyn Nine-Nine.

                   Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series, Comedy
                                                   Andre Braugher-Brooklyn Nine-Nine
                                                            Ty Burrell-Modern Family
                                                          William H. Macy-Shameless
                                                      Jim Parsons-The Big Bang Theory
                                                          Robin Williams-The Crazy Ones

Parsons and Burrell would be the only returning nominees here, so this is me going out on a long shot, but this award show loves posthumous nominations, and this is their last chance to honor Williams, they will!  Macy is well liked, and Braugher is my hail mary.
                                                     
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series, Comedy
Julie Bowen-Modern Family
Allison Janney-Mom
Edie Falco-Nurse Jackie
Lisa Kudrow-The Comeback
Julia Louis-Dreyfus-Veep

Louis-Dreyfus, Bowen, and Falco are perennial nominees.  Janney is an Emmy winner for this role, they will not forget that.  Kudrow is favorite, and this, well comeback for this show has had a lot of publicity, look for these five to fit the bill.

Outstanding Ensemble for Television Series, Drama
Boardwalk Empire
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
House of Cards  
True Detective

I have never seen a show leave this category, and return, in recent years, this does not bode well for Mad Men, or The Good Wife, which both have several nominations here.  Breaking Bad is no longer eligible. Homeland will be given the boot.  Will Boardwalk Empire stay ?  It has always been nominated.  Detective will be in, the question is will this group go with the cool House or Cards or the past nominee.  I think they will go with House of Cards.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series. Drama
Steve Buscemi-Boardwalk Empire
Peter Dinklage-Game of Thrones
Woody Harrelson-True Detective
Matthew McConaughey-True Detective
Kevin Spacey-House of Cards 

This category will be a repeat of last year's nominees, with two Harrelson and McConaughey replacing Bryan Cranston who's show is over, and Jeff Daniels from The Newsroom, they are over that, but not Empire.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series, Drama
Viola Davis-How to Get Away with Murder
Jessica Lange-American Horror Story: Freak Show
Julianna Margulies-The Good Wife 
Robin Wright-House of Cards
Kerry Washington-Scandal

I know I am stupid not to predict Maggie Smith, but I am going to go on the hunch that since she won last year she will not be nominated.  I know voters don't remember that stuff, hell I forgot she won last year, but I am going out on that ledge.  I think Margulies will be back, and Davis will creep in; she does have two of these.