Friday, January 4, 2013

The Writer's Guild gets Predictable with Ineligibility

This year's nominees for the Writer's Guild of America (WGA) were a bit predictable, especially after they ruled many films ineligible. I also say this because for the first time in a long time I predicted all of the nominees. 
The two best nominees of the bunch for me are nominations for Looper, and The Perks of Being a Wallflower, two of the best screenplays this year.  Listed below are the nominees, but who could and will unseat the winners?  Statistically speaking 2 films are always replaced.
Original Screenplay:
"Flight," Written by John Gatins; Paramount Pictures
"Looper," Written by Rian Johnson; TriStar Pictures
"The Master," Written by Paul Thomas Anderson; The Weinstein Company
"Moonrise Kingdom," Written by Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola; Focus Features
"Zero Dark Thirty," Written by Mark Boal; Columbia Pictures
Look for Looper and Flight to be the most vulnerable at the Oscars, Django Unchained and Amour are major contenders in this category.  These two latter films also have better shots at Best Picture nominations.
Adapted Screenplay:
"Argo," Screenplay by Chris Terrio; Based on a selection from "The Master of Disguise" by Antonio J. Mendez and the Wired Magazine article "The Great Escape" by Joshuah Bearman; Warner Bros. Pictures
"Life of Pi," Screenplay by David Magee; Based on the novel by Yann Martel; 20th Century Fox
"Lincoln," Screenplay by Tony Kushner; Based in part on the book "Team of Rivals: The Political Genius of Abraham Lincoln" by Doris Kearns Goodwin; DreamWorks Pictures
"The Perks of Being a Wallflower," Screenplay by Stephen Chbosky; Based on his book; Summit Entertainment
"Silver Linings Playbook," Screenplay by David O. Russell; Based on the novel by Matthew Quick; The Weinstein Company
While the same statistic holds true with Adapted Screenplay, this could actually be the five.  Although have some suspicion Beasts of the Southern Wild will replace Perks.  
Documentary Screenplay:
"The Central Park Five," Written by Sarah Burns and David McMahon and Ken Burns; Sundance Selects
"The Invisible War," Written by Kirby Dick; Cinedigm Entertainment Group
"Mea Maxima Culpa:" Silence in the House of God, Written by Alex Gibney; HBO Documentary Films
"Searching for Sugar Man," Written by Malik Bendejelloul; Sony Pictures Classics
"We Are Legion: The Story of the Hacktivists," Written by Brian Knappenberger; Cinetic Media
"West of Memphis," Written by Amy Berg & Billy McMillin; Sony Pictures Classics

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