Sunday, January 13, 2013

Golden Globes Predictions: Film

Best Drama Film
Django Unchained 
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty

Lincoln is the front runner with the most nominations, and the Globes typically go with the most nominated film in each category, but Argo is a real threat.  To be honest the Globes like to be unpredictable, so this is a tough category to predict.  My gut says Argo, but something says they will crown the eventual Best Pic winner Lincoln.

Will Win: Lincoln
Spoiler: Argo 

Best Drama Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis-Lincoln
Richard Gere-Arbitage
John Hawkes-The Sessions
Joaquin Phoenix-The Master
Denzel Washington-Flight

Day-Lewis is the obvious choice with Denzel as the spoiler, but I am pretty sure no one can take down the President in this race.

Will Win: Daniel Day Lewis-Lincoln
Spoiler-Denzel Washington-Flight

Best Drama Actress
Jessica Chastain-Zero Dark Thirty
Marion Cotillard-Rust and Bone
Helen Mirren-Hitchcock
Naomi Watts-The Impossible
Rachel Weisz-The Deep Blue Sea

Chastain is out front, her role is one of the central things folks are talking about with Zero Dark Thirty, and with good reason.  Yet there is a lot of passion for Watts performance; she has a little more celebrity clout to go with that great performance.  Watts is a serious spoiler.

Will Win: Jessica Chastain-Zero Dark Thirty
Spoiler:Naomi Watts-The Impossible

Best Comedy/Musical Film
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Les Miserables
Moonrise Kingdom
Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Silver Linings Playbook

This is a tough call, on one hand the Globes love musical, and on the other Silver Linings Playbook is a Weinstein film.  Two very strong possible winners, but even like with 2008 even Sweeney Todd won over Juno.

Will Win: Les Miserables
Very Big Spoiler: Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win-Moonrise Kingdom

Best Actor in a Comedy/Musical
Jack Black-Bernie
Bradley Cooper-Silver Linings Playbook
Hugh Jackman-Les Miserables
Ewen McGregor-Salmon Fishing in Yemen
Bill Murray-Hyde Park on Hudson

Another race between Les Mis, and SLP.  Jackman sings, but Cooper proves he's more than a pretty face with some great acting.  I think Jackman takes this award.

Will Win: Hugh Jackman-Les Miserables
Spoiler: Bradley Cooper-Silver Linings Playbook
Should win Jack Black-Bernie 

Best Actress in a Comedy/Musical
Emily Blunt-Salmon Fishing in Yemen
Judi Dench-The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Jennifer Lawrence-Silver Linings Playbook
Maggie Smith-Quartet
Meryl Streep-Hope Springs

There is no way Lawrence will lose this award!

Will and Should Win: Jennifer Lawrence
Spoiler: No One!

Best Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin-Argo
Leonardo DiCaprio-Django Unchained
Phillip Seymour Hoffman-The Master
Tommy Lee Jones-Lincoln
Christoph Waltz-Django Unchained

This race is the biggest toss-up, and while many are predicting DiCaprio, which is possible, and would be ironic because he does not have Oscar nomination, I do not think this will happen.  I think race will come down between Jones and Waltz, and I think Waltz may win this award, but I think the Oscar will go to Tommy Lee Jones.  This will probably be the most exciting Oscar race, and is the most unpredictable tonight.

Will Win: Christoph Waltz-Django Unchained
Spoiler and Should Win: Tommy Lee Jones-Lincoln

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams-The Master
Sally Field-Lincoln
Anne Hathaway-Les Miserables
Helen Hunt-The Sessions
Nicole Kidman-The Paperboy

Hathaway is on a runaway train to win her first Oscar, but Sally Field could always be a spoiler, they like her they really like her!

Will and Should Win-Ann Hathaway-Les Miserables
Spoiler-Sally Field-Lincoln

Best Director
Ben Afflec-Argo
Kathryn Bigelow-Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee-Life of Pi
Steve Spielberg-Lincoln
Quentin Tarantino-Django Unchained

As weird as this is going to sound, I think Ben Affleck would have won Best Director if he were nominated at the Oscars.  With that said watch out for him and Argo to spoil Spielberg's party here.  I still think the globes will be predictable and go with eventual Oscar winner Steven Spielberg.  I think it would be funny if Bigelow won, because that would mean the BFCA, and Globes broke away from the Oscars.

Will Win: Steven Spielberg-Lincoln
Spoiler: Ben Affleck-Argo
Should Win: Kathryn Bigelow

Best Screenplay-Lincoln (with Django as a spoiler)
Best Animated Feature-Frankenweenie
Best Foreign Language Film-Amour
Best Original Score-Lincoln
Best Original Song-"Skyfall" from Skyfall

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