Sunday, February 24, 2013

Academy Award Week 2013: The Conclusion, My Predictions

Best Picture 
Beasts of the Southern Wild 
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi 
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

In past years Lincoln would have been the obvious choice, incredible pedigree, and film that feels important (director, screenwriter, composer etc).  Yet this year history is going to be made an a film without a director nomination is going to win for the fourth time in Academy history, and for the first time since 1989.  I think Argo winning is one of the biggest sure things of the night.  If a film was going to spoil, the only one with momentum is Silver Linings Playbook.

Will Win: Argo 
Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty
Spoiler (If any): Silver Linings Playbook

Best Lead Actor 
Daniel Day-Lewis-Lincoln
Bradley Cooper-Silver Linings Playbook
Hugh Jackman-Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix-The Master
Denzel Washington-Flight

I honestly do not have much to say about this category, DDL is the biggest lock for the win of the evening.

Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis-Lincoln
Should: Daniel Day-Lewis or Joaquin Phoenix

Best Lead Actress
Jessica Chastain-Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence-Silver Linings Playbook
Emanuelle Riva-Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis-Beasts of the Southern Wild 
Naomi Watts-The Impossible 

Could be the hardest or one of the easiest categories to predict of the evening.  If you look at the precursor awards they are pretty evenly spread with one actress having the slight edge.  Jennifer Lawrence has the edge with SAG, and the Golden Globe.  SAG is the trump card.  Jessica Chastain won at BFCA, and the Golden Globes, and Emanuelle Riva won at BAFTA.  May the Odds be ever in Jennifer Lawrence favor!  Jennifer Lawrence seems like the safe bet, mainly because she has It girl status, great performance, and Harvey behind her.  Riva is the bigger spoiler, age and admiration for the film could help her.  I also think people are underestimating Chastain, and she has a real shot.  So who will win?  I am going to go with the predictable.

Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence-Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win and Spoiler: Emanuelle Riva-Amour
Spoiler: Jessica Chastain-Zero Dark Thirty

Best Supporting Actor 
Alan Arkin
Robert DeNiro-Silver Linings Playbook
Tommy Lee Jones-Lincoln 
Phillip Seymour Hoffman-The Master 
Christoph Waltz-Django Unchained

Please Click Here to see analysis:

Will Win: Christoph Waltz-Django Unchained
Should Win: Tommy Lee Jones 
Spoiler: Robert DeNiro-Silver Linings Playbook

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams-The Master
Sally Field-Lincoln
Anne Hathaway-Les Miserable
Helen Hunt-The Sessions
Jacki Weaver-Silver Linings Playbook

This win and the win from Daniel Day-Lewis are the biggest sure things of the night!

Will Win: Anne Hathaway-Les Miserables

Best Director
Michael Haneke-Amour
Ang Lee-Life of Pi
David O. Russell-Silver Linings Playbook
Steven Spielberg-Lincoln
Benh Zeitlin-Beasts of the Southern Wild

Please Click Here to See my Analysis

Will Win: Ang Lee-Life of Pi
Should Win: Benh Zeitlin-Beasts of the Souther Wild
Spoiler: David O. Russell

Best Adapted Screenplay
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook

Long ago it was thought Lincoln had a strong hold on this category, but turn out Lincoln may be running third here.  This is a race between Argo and Silver Linings Playbook.  I think Argo has this because it wont at the WGA, a major victory.  Silver Linings Playbook won this award at BAFTA though to so watch out!

Will Win: Argo 
Should Win: Lincoln
Spoiler: Silver Linings Playbook

Best Original Screenplay 
Django Unchained
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty

Please Click Here to see my Analysis:

Will Win: Django Unchained
Should Win: Moonrise Kingdom
Spoiler: Amour 

The Rest....
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Animated Feature: Brave
Best Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
Best Production Design: Anna Karenina 
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi 
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina 
Best Film Editing: Argo
Best Make-Up and Hairstyling-Les Miserables
Best Original Score: Life of Pi
Original Song: Skyfall
Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Best Animated Short: Paperman
Best Documentary Short:  Open Heart
Best Live Action Short: Curfew 

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

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