Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Oscar Predictions November (2013)

Before the critics, Golden Globes, and Screen Actors Guild nominees set a good pace for the nominees, this is my last set of Oscar predictions.  Not much has changed, except The Wolf of Wall Street is officially in the mix.  Saving Mr. Banks is the contender with heart, which will help, so here goes my last predictions before the official craze of award season starts.

Best Picture
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lee Daniel's The Butler


Saving Mr. Banks
The Wolf of Wall Street

Let's assume there are going to be nine nominees, I would say that August: Osage County and Fruitvale Station are out.  The Wolf of Wall Street is officially in for 2013, and should get a nomination, unless its a flop, but I can't see this happening, this film is this year's Django Unchained.  Saving Mr. Banks joins the ranks as the "upper."  There are no uplifting films in the bunch, sure the endings of some of the films are happy, but the pain throughout nullifies everything.  

Best Director

Paul Greengrass-Captain Phillips
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Steve McQueen-12 Years a Slave
David O. Russell- American Hustle

Martin Scorsese-The Wolf of Wall Street
Lee Daniels is a previous nominee, but Martin Scorsese is royalty with regard to nominations now. as are the Coens, and Alexander Payne.  The director's branch has been the most cutting edge throughout the years, will this continue?  If so I could see J.C. Chandor from All is Lost scoring a nomination, but I am going with safety and replacing Daniels with Scorsese (take a drink).  I think O. Russell is replaceable as well, his film has not been seen, and it could "too lightweight

Best Actor 
Bruce Dern- Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor- 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks-Captain Phillips

Matthew McConaughey-Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford- All Is Lost

I saw Dallas Buyers Club 
McConaughey is in!  There is no way they will snub him for this role; he is the heart of this acclaimed film; he replaces Whitaker, but do not count Forrest out; he could replace someone.

Best Actress 
Cate Blanchett- Blue Jasmine

Sandra Bullock-Gravity
Judi Dench- Philomena

Meryl Streep- August: Osage County
Emma Thompson-Saving Mr. Banks

Keeping this the same, I am convinced Amy Adams will go supporting for American Hustle.

Best Supporting Actor 

Barkhad Abdi-Captain Phillips
Michael Fassbender- 12 Years a Slave

Tom Hanks- Saving Mr. Banks

Woody Harrelson-Out of the FurnaceJared Leto-Dallas Buyers Club

I am replacing one former television star from the 90s with another.  John Goodman is out, and Woody Harrelson is in!  If Out of the Furnace has the campaign and traction I think, Harrelson will be the one to reap the nomination.

Best Supporting Actress  
Margo Martindale-August: Osage County
Lupita Nyongo-12 Years a Slave
Octavia Spencer-Fruitvale Station

June Squib-NebraskaOprah Winfrey-Lee Daniel's The Butler

As of now I replaced Amy Adams with June Squibb, Nebraska has heart, and that is something many of these films are missing, Squibb fills that slot in this category.

Best Original Screenplay
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Fruitvale Station
Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Adapted Screenplay

12 Years a Slave
August: Osage County
Before Midnight

Captain Phillips

The Wolf of Wall Street

No comments: