Showing posts with label Lee Daniel's The Butler. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lee Daniel's The Butler. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

12 Years a Slave, Lee Daniel's The Butler, and August: Osage County, and Dallas Buyer's Club lead SAG Film Nominations

Before I even publish the television nominees (which matter), the film nominees are a big deal, and prove something far more interesting, the Oscar race is on!

I think the Supporting Actor race is once again the most interesting, I am not entirely certain Gandolfinni will score an Oscar nomination, but I predicted his nomination here.  This category was probably filled with more "surprises" than any other Tom Hanks, and Bradley Cooper the bigger stars snubbed for Barkhad Adbi in Captain Phillips and Daniel Bruhl in Rush.  Abdi has the Oscar nomination.

I went 5 for 5 in Supporting Actress I knew they would buy Julia Robert category fraud, her celebrity also helped her out like Nicole Kidman's in The Paperboy last year.  The other four nominees are locks in this category watch out for that elusive fifth person to knock Robert out, maybe Octavia Spencer.

In a surprise move Jennifer Lawrence was the only cast member to nominated from American Hustle, which is surprising because the film has so many actors, and this is where most of the support for the film would come come from, but as stated above no Cooper,  and no Amy Adams in Lead Actress.  The lead actress race looks locked up with five veterans, Streep, Bullock, Blanchett, Dench, and Thompson.

The Best Actor thud heard round the world is no Robert Redford in All is Lost, Tom O'Neil from goldderby.com is going to go crazy.  Redford hosts Sundance, but is kind an outside, whereas Whitaker and Hanks are pretty present, and two of the more popular films of the season, their nominations make sense.

Who predicted Dallas Buyers Club getting a nomination in Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture? I will buy you a shot, this was not on anyone's list, just proving the film has legs, and could sneak into the Best Picture race.  The rest of the nominees in this category were predictable, with 12 years a Slave leading the pack with 4 nominations.  August: Osage County and Lee Daniel's The Butler received and Dallas Buyer's Club all received 3 nominations while American Hustle has 2.

You may be asking where is The Wolf of Wall Street, Her, and some other late surging films?  Wolf did screen for as many members like Django Unchained last year, which did not get nominated at SAG, but then went on to score 5 nominations and 2 wins at the Oscars.  Look for films like Her, and Wolf to still show up at the Oscars.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Dallas Buyers Club
Lee Daniel's The Butler

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Lead Role
Bruce Dern-Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor-12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks-Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey-Dallas Buyer's Club
Forrest Whitaker-Lee Daniel's The Butler

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Lead Role
Cate Blanchett-Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock-Gravity
Judi Dench-Philomena
Emma Thompson-Saving Mr. Banks
Meryl Streep-August: Osage County

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Barkhad Abdi-Captain Phillips
Daniel Bruhl-Rush
Michael Fassbender-12 Years a Slave
James Gandolfini-Enough Said
Jared Leto-Dallas Buyer's Club

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Jennifer Lawrence-American Hustle
Lupita Nyong'o-12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts-August: Osage County
June Squibb-Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey-Lee Daniel's The Butler

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Film Predictions

The first "major" film nominations are announced tomorrow.  In years past the Golden Globes always announced their nominees first, but this year the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Awards are being announced first.  This award is a bit different because the "Best Picture" is Outstanding Performance by a Cast in Motion Picture.  Here are my predictions below:

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Lee Daniel's The Butler
Saving Mr. Banks

Beyond these five three other ensembles have a decent shot of showing up here: Blue Jasmine (Midnight in Paris was nominated here), Nebraska (the last two Alexander Payne films have made the cut), and The Wolf of Wall Street (Scorsese casts have done well here).  My 6th place would go to Blue Jasmine mainly because of the mix of film and television actors in the cast, then Nebraska then Wolf.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Lead Role
Bruce Dern-Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor-12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey-Dallas Buyer's Club
Robert Redford-All is Lost
Forrest Whitaker-Lee Daniel's The Butler

This was a tough call, I think the 5th spot is between Whitaker and Hanks.  Both have a strong fan base, Hanks as a producer/actor, Whitaker as a director/actor.  I think this is where you will see support for The Butler start to swell up.  Too close to call.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Lead Role
Cate Blanchett-Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock-Gravity
Judi Dench-Philomena
Emma Thompson-Saving Mr. Banks
Meryl Streep-August: Osage County

I am torn on whether Meryl can get a nomination once again, or if there is fatigue.  I think Amy Adams may be a strong spoiler.  I also think this will be a year for veteran winners in this category.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Bradley Cooper-American Hustle
Michael Fassbender-12 Years a Slave
James Gandolfini-Enough Said
Tom Hanks-Saving Mr. Banks
Jared Leto-Dallas Buyer's Club

The toughest category to completely predict because beyond Leto, Fassbender, and Hanks I feel like I am grasping at thing air.  I think Gandolfini will make it into the race here, SAG is sentimental look at Jerry Orbach (although that was television), but Gandolfini was in both television and film regularly.  I think Cooper is vulnerable because he is a lead, but category fraud is in their MO, and American Hustle will be a big nominee tomorrow.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Jennifer Lawrence-American Hustle
Lupita Nyong'o-12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts-August: Osage County
June Squibb-Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey-Lee Daniel's The Butler

Another tough call, I think Squibb and Roberts are the weaker links here, but they make sense.  SAG nominees always seem cohesive to me, and they will honor a few nominees as stragglers, like Nicole Kidman, Kidman got nominated here mainly because of her name.  The same will help Roberts, along with her talent.

At the end the big winners from this day of nominations will be films who have either been no shows with the critics, Lee Daniel's The Butler, and Saving Mr. Banks, August: Osage County.  These three films will/should score 3 nominations a piece.  American Hustle will also get 3, maybe four if Amy Adams can crack Female Actor.  12 Years a Slave will have four.  I can see Hustle and Slave in a tie for the most nominations, do not be surprised if that is the headline tomorrow.



Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Summer 2013 Movie Wrap-Up

Another year, another summer full of hits, misses, and head scratchers at the cinema.  With Labor Day Weekend looming, and only the One Direction concert film, and a terrible Ethan Hawke, Selena Gomez film in our way, I think it's safe to say that the summer movie season has ended.  There is one lesson that can be learned, studio executives do not think before they green light, and under estimate audiences time and time again, with banal choices that seem like failure while in pre-production.  There are a few things I observed, everyone loves Robert Downey Jr., women rule, and never under estimate the niche audience market.

May 

There is power in a successful brand, and a star.  Iron Man 3, did better than the second film, and was actually better than the film too (minus the whole Mandarin debacle).  At the moment the film is the highest grossing for the year, with 408 million domestic, and 804 in the foreign markets, that's great and proof that there is a new "man of steel" dominating the box office.

DiCaprio is also bank!  Beyond his "Oscar" films like Revolutionary Road and J. Edgar, his last 5 films have all made over 100 million dollars (domestically).  The Great Gatsby was touch and go before its release, but with smart marketing, a great soundtrack, and iconic literature as its source the film drew in people of all ages taking in 144 domestically, and 188 in foreign markets, not too shabby.

Star Trek: Into Darkness proved to not do as well as the original, but still made decent money, it could potentially be one of the more pirated movies of the year.  I think the problem with this franchise is that it's still viewed as "too geeky" and not as cool.  This theory goes with the branding concept.

The Fast and Furious brand has now seen its sixth film, and been just as successful, but I agree with American Dad, the whole series is a bit homoerotic, I am actually shocked I only watched the first one.  Look for a seventh because this franchise is unstoppable.

The surprise hit of the month, was Now You See Me, which like that engine kept chugging along week after week to make 116 million domestic and 176 in the foreign markets.  The power of word of mouth, helped this film a lot.

On to the big bombs, The Hangover III, and After Earth.  There is no rule that your film has to have a sequel if its succeeds, or that it needs to even be a trilogy.  I get the first and second Hangover films made good money, but people hated the sequel, which proved a third should not be made, listen to audiences!  Todd Phillps should take a page from Edgar Wright, and Simon Pegg.  After Earth was the first box office bomb from Will Smith since Wild Wild West, the film had poor marketing, and was just plain bad.  Sorry M. Night Shyamalan you are a one hit wonder in film. 

Of the smaller films Frances Ha (4 million), and Before Midnight (8 million) did not really catch on, but both were great films, and well reviewed.  In fact Midnight is my best reviewed film of the year, so far.

June 

The big winners for June were Man of Steel, Monsters University, World War Z, The Heat, This is the End (because of the budget), and The Purge(because of the budget).

Superman tried to return 7 years ago, and while critics gave the film a solid pass, the action packed Man of Steel did a little bit better, so it gets a sequel.  If you look at inflation the two films basically made the same domestically, but the foreign market has saved this film to live on for another day.

Pixar did it again, but they are not the best in the animated realm this year.  Monster University scored big after the 3-D re-release of the original flopped.  Was there any doubt this would do well?

World War Z was another slow and steady film, which did a lot better than expected, the book is one of the most popular within the last many years, but the film took a different approach which concerned many.  These concerns did not stop people from attending the film proving that adults still go to films, although yes it was about zombies once again.

The Heat proves the power of both women and Melissa McCarthy at the box office.  McCarthy had two films make over a hundred million in a year, this is rare in recent years, except for maybe someone like Jennifer Lawrence.  The female buddy cop was a sure fire hit with lead Bullock and McCarthy, but people keep under estimating the power of women at the box office, and they should not, in fact keep the strong female lead films coming.

While This is the End and The Purge did not crack 100 million domestically they were made on such small budgets that they were both seen as a huge success.  Props to both films succeeding.  

There were obviously a lot of films, which made money in June, but there were two films, which landed poorly, White House Down and The Internship.

Were people tired of seeing the White House attacked this year?  Olympus has Fallen did better with 98 million, while White House Down made 72 million (both domestic), maybe people picked one movie about attacking the White House this year, and went, "Eh one's enough."  Combined the two films did well, but this is not fourth grade math.

Sometimes getting the old gang back together just does not work, that's mainly when the film looks bad. That was the fate The Internship suffered.  Owen Wilson, and Vince Vaughn have made a good film in many years, and audiences were smart to avoid this clunker.

Once again smaller dramatic films tended to be here and gone quickly, like Much Ado About Nothing (4 million domestic) and The Bling Ring (5 million domestic).  

July 
While May and June saw fireworks, July was only saw one film do incredible, and that was Despicable Me 2.    Despicable made 100 million dollars more than the original, and is the second highest grossing film of the year so far, the strong word of mouth from children and adults made this one a hit.

The next film, which I would deem as a huge success was another scary movie, but a good one at that, was The Conjuring.  With another small budget The Conjuring made 131 million dollars domestic, which is pretty impressive.

The Conjuring beat the X-Men franchise, The Wolverine, but that film suffered from a terrible first film, so my assumption is that middling reviews made non fans weary to waste money, although the film made 125 million domestic.

Pacific Rim is the perfect example of flop in the States, good foreign box office.  Studios are making more and more films like this with more action and little dialogue so they can do great business all over the world. While I loved Pacific Rim, this strategy has taken away one of the strongest elements of a film, the script.  Rim also had the most talk after Comic Con last year, but that excitement faded quickly.  I am intrigued to see how this trend plays out over the next few years.

The rest of the big budget films in July were mostly let downs, Red 2, Turbo, R.I.P.D., and of course The Lone Ranger.  Ranger's story is the most interesting because it made many headlines, namely from Johnny Depp and Jerry Bruckheimer blaming the critics for the film's failure, but also getting served by journalists and bloggers for not having a clue what they were talking about.  Sorry your film just sucked, and no one wanted to you in red face Johnny Depp.

On the smaller films side, The Way Way Back (18 million), and Fruitvale Station (15 million) have done the best, and both will most likely pass 20 million.  Fruitvale is a surefire Oscar contender, and could make even more money once this happens.

August

I am honestly not going to waste much breadth on the failures of August, but rather list them: Elysium, The Smurfs 2, Percy Jackson 2, Kick-Ass 2, Mortal Instruments, You're Next, and the biggest flop of the month Paranoia.  I will add that We're the Millers is going to be a mild success, but the real success story of August is Lee Daniel's The Butler.

While listening to the Oscar Podcast from Sasha Stone at awardsdaily.com, she pointed out that The Butler may be the first non Tyler Perry film to be number one at the box office for two weeks in a row, and directed by a black director, who also identities as gay, Lee Daniels. The Butler is only in its second weekend, but has made 51 million dollars, with no significant film being released over Labor Day I have a feeling this could repeat for a third week in a row, which would be amazing.  The film is a sure fire Oscar contender, and while it's not the best movie, it is a great story, and incredibly emotional.  The Butler is the only film released this month which is having an impact at the box office, and it a well made film, kudos to the Weinstein Company and Lee Daniels for ending August well.





Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Oscar Predictions (2013)-August is Never too Early

What will this year's Oscars look like?  Who will be the major players?  Does Harvey have the magic once again?  All of these are just a few of the questions people are asking now, but with the season getting underway, and heavy hitters like Fruitvale Station, Blue Jasmine, Nebraska, and Inside Llewyn Davis getting good press, there may be a lot of contenders already out there.  Here are my very very early August predictions.

Best Picture
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
August: Osage County

Blue Jasmine 
Fruitvale Station

Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lee Daniel's The Butler

Nebraska

Best Director
Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station

Joel and Ethan Coen-Inside Llewyn Davis
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Lee Daniels-Lee Daniel's The Butler 
David O. Russell- American Hustle

Best Actor 
Bruce Dern- Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor- 12 Years a Slave

Michael B. Jordan-Fruitvale Station
Robert Redford- All Is Lost
Forrest Whitaker-Lee Daniel's The Butler 

Best Actress 
Cate Blanchett- Blue Jasmine

Sandra Bullock-Gravity
Judi Dench- Philomena

Julia Roberts- August: Osage County
Kate Winslet-Labor Day

Best Supporting Actor 
Josh Brolin- Labor Day
Michael Fassbender- 12 Years a Slave
Harrison Ford-42

John Goodman-Inside Llewyn Davis
Tom Hanks- Saving Mr. Banks


Best Supporting Actress 
Amy Adams- American Hustle/Her

Sally Hawkins- Blue Jasmine
Octavia Spencer-Fruitvale Station
Meryl Streep- August: Osage County

Oprah Winfrey-Lee Daniel's The Butler

Best Original Screenplay
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine

Fruitvale Station
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska


Best Adapted Screenplay

12 Years a Slave
August: Osage County
Before Midnight

Foxcatcher
Labor Day

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

August Movies to See and Skip

Wow, July went by in a whirl wind.  The biggest success of July, and its no surprise, was the animated sequel Despicable Me 2.  The first film was a sleeper hit at the box office, and only grew in popularity on DVD.  Even though The Heat was released (June 28th) most of its business came in July, and is proof Melissa McCarthy is good for business, way to go Sookie St. James!

In other news July was a slow domestic month, Pacific Rim proved to be too much of a genre film, and the excitement from Comic Con, turned out to be hot air.  Rim has only grossed 85 million domestic is on the same track as Cowboys & Aliens in the States.  The Conjuring scared up a large box office with a small budget, it's at 86 million, and counting.  In fact many of the smaller films did quite well, look for July releases Fruitvale Station, Blue Jasmine, and The Way Way Back to perform solidly.

While Rim's box office was not as impressive as expected, nothing could be more disappointing than The Lone Ranger, and R.I.P.D..  Ranger has barely grossed 100 million and cost 250 million, who thought this nostalgia was a good idea?  Depp has proven he is no longer box office magic; his only major successes of late were the fourth Pirates and Alice in Wonderland.   Someone also needs to tell Ryan Reynolds to stop trying so hard, with two flops in one weekend R.I.P.D., and Turbo he needs to assess to future of his career.  Let's just hope neither of these film studios have had money withheld from them from China.  Now to August, and to be honest I am glad I do not have much free time this month the movies look bad.

August 2nd

2 Guns

Hard to pick which movie looks like the biggest joke this month, but this film, which was originally intended to reunite Owen Wilson and Vince Vaughn, but instead has Denzel Washington and Mark Wahlberg.  This movie looks pointless, and not pointless fun.

The Smurfs 2 (July 31st)

The first looked bad, and made a lot of money.  I dread having to take my children to such terrible movies.  If this is what is passing for "family entertainment, I weep.  Nostalgia is both a good and bad thing, you make the assessment, I know how I feel with these films.

The Spectacular Now

This looks like a great look at the realistic nature of young teenage love, which is ambitious, heart felt, passionate, and sometimes misguided.  Shailene Woodley is a star to watch; she just needs to shed that crappy ABC Family show.  Everyone has their baggage.

The Canyons

Lindsey Lohan tries yet again, the trailer looks so bad, that it will be a camp classic for years to come!



August 9th 

Elysium

I am looking forward to this film the most this August.  Matt Damon looks bad ass, and Neil Blomkamp's District 9 was a shot of adrenaline to a boring August 4 years ago.  This should be a solid film, with great action and story, sold.

Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters

I was puzzled why they made this sequel, the first did not make much money, but this book series has a massive fan base.  The first one isn't good, but it was fun enough.

Planes

Has Pixar gotten this lazy?  This looks worse than Cars 2 and that's saying a lot, I am sad this once great animation company has faltered so much, and become a lazy sequel machine.

We're the Millers

This looks like a movie that gives away all the best jokes in the preview, with that said I thought that about The Heat, and was wrong.  This could just be a fun comedy.  The cast is solid, and Aniston looks better than ever.



August 16th 

Kick-Ass 2 

I think I would have been happy without a sequel, I really enjoyed the first film, after watching the extended look on this film from Comic Con I am less worried, but without Matthew Vaughn directing this film has some ground to make-up, and Jim Carey has not been in a good movie in almost 10 years.

Paranoia 

This could be a really fun thriller, Gary Oldman and Harrison Ford going at it as moguls, using Liam Hemsworth as their pawn?  How does that sound bad, the book it's based on is pretty fun, and hopefully they capture the same basic elements in the film.

Lee Daniel's The Butler 

Talk about Oscar pedigree.  The cast has 17 Oscar nominations and 5 wins.  I think this has bait written all over it, with the President's throughout the years, and the man who served them, and finally getting to see the first black President elected.  Remember the Weinstein's are behind this, and got Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close two Oscar nominations.  Oprah is also touted as strong front runner for Supporting Actress.

Jobs

I take Lindsey Lohan more seriously than Kutcher as an actor, I can't take this film seriously, watch the trailer, and see if you can, I dare you

Ain't Them Bodies Saints

Lots of buzz from Sundance with strong performances?  I trust Sundance with these small films, they always steer me right, and I will be checking this out.



August 23rd 

Mortal Instruments: City of Bones

Is this the next Hunger Games, or more in the vein of Percy Jackson and The Host.  My guess is the latter, I have not seen much with regard to publicity for this film, and even though the book is popular, I feel like film studios are not waiting long enough to make books into films, or should let this practice breath a little bit more.

The World's End

Simon Pegg and Nick frost for the final part in "Blood and Ice Cream" trilogy.  I love Shaun of the Dead and Hott Fuzz, and depending on my mood, it's a tough pick as to which I like better.  Edgar Wright is back as director, and I am beyond excited for this film.

You're Next 

This trailer honestly scarred the shit out of me, and I think I would nightmare for weeks from this film, enter at your own risk.



August 30th

One Direction: This is Us

If someone had a gun to my head and they asked me to pick between this film, and Getaway, I would seriously consider the bullet (kidding....).  Enough with these concert movies, put them on HBO and be done.

Getaway

Selena Gomez, in action film playing a "thug" girl, nuff said, this film looks like a sure fire Razzie contender, and gets the award for film that looks the worst this month.